Showing posts with label Minnesota Twins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Minnesota Twins. Show all posts

Monday, October 1, 2012

Scouting Notebook featuring Byron Buxton


(William DeShazer/Naples Daily News)
By Nathaniel Stoltz | @stoltz_baseball

In the September issue of Big Leagues Monthly | Magazine, I wrote up a “scouting notebook” of sorts with my thoughts about players I had seen in person in the past month. I’ve had the opportunity to see over a dozen games involving several highly-touted prospects, encapsulating the Carolina League, the South Atlantic League, and the Appalachian League. Here are my thoughts on some of the most notable names I saw—I have more to share beyond this, but that can wait until next month!

Byron Buxton, OF, Twins (Rookie-Advanced Elizabethton)
Buxton, the second overall pick in the 2012 draft, clearly boasts all sorts of tools. He’s got wiry strength, power projection, and plenty of athleticism. However, he’s just 18 and has a lot standing between himself and the majors; at times, he looked like the rawest player on the field in the Appalachian League, taking fastballs down the middle, waving at curves in the dirt ten inches off the plate, and misplaying balls in the outfield. But for every head-scratching play he makes, he’ll wow you with something you don’t expect an 18-year-old to be able to do, like pull his hands inside a fastball on the inside corner and rip it to left field, or lay down a perfect drag bunt. He clearly has first-division upside if he can refine his game, but at this stage, any number of developmental paths are possible. Just because his issues are theoretically fixable doesn’t necessarily mean they will be fixed, after all. As with former Twins first-round outfielder Aaron Hicks, it could be years before we know quite how well Buxton’s tools will translate.

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

The Curious Case of Pedro Alvarez and his Diurnal Explosion


(Gene J. Puskar / AP)        
By Stevo-sama | @yoshiki89

There has been some discussion, most recently following the Pittsburgh Pirates’ dramatic 19-inning win over the St. Louis Cardinals, surrounding Pirates infielder Pedro Alvarez and his peculiar AVG/OBP/SLG day/night splits this season.
In 582 AB during the 2010 and 2011 seasons, Alvarez was batting .241/.313/.354 (158 AB) in day games and .226/.301/.406 (424 AB) in night games, a percentage difference of 5.8% in OPS. However, in 2012 so far Alvarez’ day/night splits are profoundly shocking. In 125 AB, Alvarez is batting .312/.385/.752 in day games and 255 AB, .196/.280/.322 in night games. His most notable conventional offensive metric is his HR rate in those ABs; he’s hit 16 HR in 125 AB (12.8%) during the day, 7 HR in 255 AB (2.7%) at night.

There have been other notable day/night splits poster children in recent seasons. Justin Morneau’s 2011 splits found him struggling considerably during night games after several fairly consistent seasons (Day: 100 AB, .320/.361/.490; Night: 164 AB, .171/.239/.238). Morneau’s troubles may or may not have begun after his mid-2010 concussion (he finished the season with a 1.13% difference in OPS between day and night), but there’s enough doubt around his lingering symptoms starting in 2011 to perhaps explain the drastic change during that season. What isn’t easily explained is why, in 2012, Morneau is experiencing a swing in the opposite direction, .682 OPS in 129 Day AB versus .870 OPS in 256 Night AB.